News

On September 9 (3pm), we are happy to host Timo Teräsvirta (Aarhus University), who visits CESA and presents in our Empirical Economics Seminar.

"The effect of the North Atlantic Oscillation on monthly precipitation in selected European locations: A nonlinear time series approach"

We look very much forward to a fruitful and inspiring exchange

On September 2, we are happy to host Joan Costa-i-Font (London School of Economics), who visits CESA and presents in our Empirical Economics Seminar.

Further details are provided prior to his talk.

Our new CESA member Matthias Westphal contributes to the Working Paper Series with the research paper entitled "Disruptions in Primary Care: Can Resigning GPs Cause Persistently Negative Health Effects?" (co-authored with Daniel Monsees) [PDF]

CESA is growing and we are very happy to announce that the newly appointed Professor Matthias Westphal (Chair of Economic Policy) and his team (Anna Krumme and Dr. Hendrik Sonnabend) are joining the center. They mainly work on applied microeconometrics, empirical health and labor economics. We are looking forward to a fruitful collaboration!

We are happy to announce the start of our CESA working paper series! The first three contributions are

CESA Working Paper No. 1 | 2023
Andreas Hauptmann, Benjamin Schwanebeck and Hans-Jörg Schmerer
Plant-level adjustments to imports and exports at the extensive margin [PDF]

CESA Working Paper No. 2 | 2023
Joscha Beckmann, Marco Kerkemeier and Robinson Kruse-Becher
Regime-specific exchange rate predictability [PDF]

CESA Working Paper No. 3 | 2023
Joscha Beckmann, Timo Heinrich and Jennifer Rogmann
Inflation expectations and cognitive uncertainty [PDF]

Data and methods for understanding the link between oil prices and exchange rates

Members of the center have recently published the following research articles:

• Robinson Kruse-Becher (co-authored with Christoph Hanck and Matei Demetrescu)
  Robust Fixed-b Inference in the Presence of Time-Varying Volatility, Econometrics and Statistics 2023
  Link
• Pascal Goemans
  The impact of public consumption and investment in the euro area during periods of high and normal uncertainty, Economic Modelling 2023
  Link
• Hans-Jörg Schmerer and Jaqueline Hansen
  Pass-through effects of a temporary tax rebate on German fuel prices, Economics Letters 2023
  Link
• Joscha Beckmann (co-authored with Marek Kwas and Michal Rubaszek)
  Are consensus FX forecasts valuable for investors?, International Journal of Forecasting 2023
  Link
• Jaqueline Hansen and Hans-Jörg Schmerer (co-authored with Antonia Kamaliev)
  The COVID-19 Pandemic and Chinese Trade Relations, Open Economies Review 2023
  Link
• Joscha Beckmann (co-authored with Sharada Nia Davidson, Gary Koop and Rainer Schüssler)
  Cross-country uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from international survey data, Journal of International Money and Finance 2023
  Link